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Analysis of spatial and temporal risk of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus (PPRV) outbreaks in endemic settings: A scoping review | ||
| Archives of Razi Institute | ||
| مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 24 فروردین 1404 اصل مقاله (748.73 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Review Article | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22092/ari.2025.366385.3246 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Julius Joseph Mwanandota* 1؛ Daniel Mdetele2؛ Emmanuel Muunda3؛ Eunice Machuka3؛ Edward Okoth3؛ George Omondi Paul4؛ Sharadhuli Kimera5؛ Gerald Misinzo5 | ||
| 1Box 9254, Dar es salaam | ||
| 2Ministry of Livestock and Fisheries, P.O Box 2870, Dodoma, Tanzania | ||
| 3Old Naivasha Road, near Uthiru | ||
| 4University of Nairobi | ||
| 5College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, SUA, P.O. Box 3019, Chuo Kikuu, Morogoro, Tanzania | ||
| چکیده | ||
| Surveillance shows that Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is endemic in both Africa and Asia due to its continuous circulation. Several epidemiological factors work together to support PPR's geographical spread. To investigate the risk of PPR transmission, analytical techniques based on spatial, spatiotemporal, and transmission dynamics have been employed. The risk factors linked to the spatiotemporal distribution and transmission dynamics of PPR at the regional level are extremely poorly understood. This study assessed the risks of Peste des Petit ruminant virus (PPRV) epidemics during a comprehensive evaluation of peer-reviewed literature, highlighting the differences between geographical and spatial-temporal techniques used in endemic zones. Utilizing the PubMed and Google Scholar databases, a scoping literature analysis of PPR research papers that evaluated PPR risks in endemic areas using spatial and spatiotemporal techniques was conducted. Eight papers with a global perspective were chosen from 42, 20 of which were on Asia and 14 on Africa. 35.7% employed spatial autocorrelation, while 61.9% used clustering analysis. Of the research, the majority (71.2%) described temporal trends, whereas 13 publications (30%) used modelling methodologies. Geographic accessibility (n = 19), trade and commerce (n = 17), environment and ecology (n = 12), socioeconomic variables (n = 9), and demography and livestock–wildlife interactions (n = 20) are the five risk factors that were assessed. All the risk factors were related; however, only two papers discussed the transmission dynamics of PPR. Our understanding of PPR outbreaks in endemic environments has improved because of the review, which also encourages evidence-based decision-making to lessen the virus's effects on small ruminant populations. It has been demonstrated that the association of additional risk variables with livestock trade, the primary force behind livestock migration, significantly increases the probability of PPR outbreaks in endemic areas. Since many studies are conducted in Asia rather than Africa, Africa should be considered in future prediction model development to evaluate possible eradication strategies at the national and regional levels. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| Peste des petit ruminant (PPR) epidemics؛ spatial methods؛ spatiotemporal methods؛ risk factors | ||
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 28 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 24 |
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